Cher Pierre,

J’arrive en retard (encore une fois) sur cet article qui a attiré visiblement quelques commentaires d’un vide accablant et beaucoup de bonnes observations, ce qui prouve que vous nourrisisez bien le débat sur le sujet.

Je vous livre un article pris ce matin-heure locale- dans le Taipei Times, ne sachant pas si vous en avez eu connaissance avant.

Le bilan est accablant pour la politique de Bush en matière de « guerre contre le terrorisme ». On le sentait bien, mais expliqué par des faits et des arguments de ce niveau, les choses sont encore plus limpides.

Bien amicalement,

War on terror’ has feuled terrorism, says Oxford group `DISASTER’ : ORG said ousting the Taliban had been of `direct value’ to al-Qaeda, while detention stories have been used for propaganda campaigns

AFP, LONDON Tuesday, Oct 09, 2007, Page 6

The US-led « war on terror » has been a « disaster » and Washington and its allies must change their policy in Iraq and Afghanistan to defeat al-Qaeda, an independent global security think tank said yesterday.

The Oxford Research Group (ORG) said in a report that Western strategy since the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks on the US had failed to extinguish the threat from Islamist extremism and even fueled it.

« Every aspect of the war on terror has been counterproductive in Iraq and Afghanistan, from the loss of civilian life through mass detentions without trial. In short, it has been a disaster, » report author Paul Rogers said. « Western countries simply have to face up to the dangerous mistakes of the past six years and recognize the need for new policies. »

Rogers, professor of peace studies at the University of Bradford, northern England, also warned that any military action against Iran over the Islamic republic’s disputed nuclear program would further aggravate the situation.

« Going to war with Iran will make matters far worse, playing directly into the hands of extreme elements and adding greatly to the violence across the region, » he added. « Whatever the problems with Iran, war should be avoided at all costs — the mistakes already made will be completely overshadowed by the consequences of a war with Iran. »

Chief among the report’s criticisms is that the US-led invasion of Iraq in March 2003 was a « grievous mistake, » which had created a combat training zone for extremist elements linked to or inspired by Osama bin Laden’s al-Qaeda.

The report, Towards Sustainable Security : Alternative Approaches to the War on Terror, said the situation was comparable to the rise of the mujahidin that rose against the Russian occupation of Afghanistan in the 1980s.

On Afghanistan, the ORG said ousting the hardline Taliban from power in late 2001 had been of « direct value » to al-Qaeda and militia sympathetic to its violent Islamist ideology were now re-invigorated, it added.

In addition, mass detentions of suspected extremists, torture, prisoner abuse and the « extraordinary rendition » of suspects for questioning in third countries outside US legal jurisdiction was a useful propaganda weapon.

Rogers said the US and its allies needed to better understand the roots of the al-Qaeda movement and its support base and systematically undercut it through policy changes at every level.

Among the ORG’s recommendations are the withdrawal of foreign forces from Iraq and an increase in diplomacy, including with Syria and Iran ; greater civil aid to Afghanistan, a scaling down of military action and talks with militia.